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FX margin erosion: revenue in EUR, costs in TRY

Revenue in TRY + contract in EUR + fuel in TRY — margin quietly erodes with the rate. FX hedging protects 2–4% margin.

Editorial poster: a euro sign and a TRY sign balanced on a thin wire — financial balance in minimalist design.
Editorial poster: a euro sign and a TRY sign balanced on a thin wire — financial balance in minimalist design.

A typical contract on the TR–EU corridor: revenue in EUR, costs mostly in TRY (fuel, driver, maintenance), some in EUR (tolls, ferry). When the rate moves, margin erodes silently.

Industry case: A 10% annual EUR/TRY move drops margin by 2–4%. For a €5M revenue 100-truck fleet that’s a €100K–€200K impact.

Why it’s invisible

Three reasons:

  1. Monthly reports show aggregates. The FX effect appears as a generic cost increase.
  2. Ops centre doesn’t track the rate. TMS trip plans are rate-blind; the CFO only sees it at month-end.
  3. No FX clause in contracts. Fixed annual price = fleet risk.

Trip + rate tracking

Lognari computes the actual FX cost per trip:

TripRevenue (€)TRY cost × rateEUR costNet margin (real)
#58214,80096,000 ₺ / 37.2 = 2,5801,420€800 (16.7%)
#58234,80096,000 ₺ / 38.8 = 2,4741,420€906 (18.9%)

Monthly FX report: cumulative rate effect, hedge recommendation, contract-renegotiation opportunity.

Impact by fleet size

FleetAnnual FX riskHedge savingsContract-design effect
100 trucks€100K–€200K€60K–€120K+2% margin
300 trucks€300K–€600K€180K–€360K+2.5% margin
1,000 trucks€1M–€2M€600K–€1.2M+3% margin

What’s next

If your fleet earns in EUR/USD and spends in TRY without hedging, the rate is eating your margin directly. A 30-day pilot delivers a concrete hedge strategy.

Reach out via the contact section — reply within one business day.

Frequently asked

Which rates are tracked?
EUR/TRY, USD/TRY, RUB/TRY, EUR/USD. EUR/TRY is primary on the TR–EU corridor; RUB/TRY if the corridor has a Russia leg. Daily spot + 1/3/6-month forward.
How is hedging structured?
Forward contracts sized to average contract maturity × estimated cumulative amount. The Lognari report becomes negotiation leverage with the bank — discounts similar to insurance premiums.
How is it reflected in customer contracts?
An FX-adjusted price clause: 'When EUR/TRY exceeds threshold X, the price is recalculated.' Lognari ships a contract template in Annex D.

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